Calculated Risk: GDP Tracking: Low 2% Range – Beragampengetahuan

by Calculated Risk on 3/08/2024 02:34:00 PM

From BofA:

Since our update last week, 1Q GDP tracking is down two-tenths to 2.3% q/q saar, and 4Q GDP tracking is up a tenth to 3.3% q/q saar from its second estimate print of 3.2% q/q saar. [Mar 8th estimate]
emphasis added

From Goldman:

We left our Q1 GDP tracking estimate unchanged after rounding at +2.2% (qoq ar) and our Q1 domestic final sales forecast also unchanged at +2.5% (qoq ar). [Mar 6th estimate]

And from the Altanta Fed: GDPNow

The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2024 is 2.5 percent on March 7, unchanged from March 6. [March 7th estimate]