Forecasts
Tom Lee forecasts $150,000 target – Beragampengetahuan
Tom Lee, the founder and head of research at FundStrat Global Advisors, has once again vocalized a compellingly bullish forecast for Bitcoin (BTC). During an engaging interview with CNBC, Lee projected an impressive potential upswing for Bitcoin, positing it might escalate to a staggering $150,000 within the next 12 to 18 months. This prediction suggests […]
Total Return Forecasts: Major Asset Classes | 4 March 2024 – Beragampengetahuan
The long-term return return estimate for the Global Market Index (GMI) edged up in February, rising from January’s estimate — the first increase in three months. Today’s revised forecast (based on three models defined below) points to a 6.8% annualized return for the unmanaged benchmark, which holds all the major asset classes (except cash) based […]
Is U.S. debt sustainable? Our U.S. federal debt forecasts. – Beragampengetahuan
U.S. Federal public debt has risen by around 20 percentage points of GDP over the last decade, hitting a record level as a share of the economy in 2020 at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic. Though it has fallen back since, our Consensus is for the public debt-to-GDP ratio to creep up again over […]
Forecasts and Nowcasts | beragampengetahuan – Beragampengetahuan
CBO has released its Budget and Economic Outlook, with projections for GDP (based on data from early December). This is their GDP projection based on current law, compared to other forecasts (IMF, WSJ survey mean), and today’s GDPNow. Figure 1: GDP as reported (bold black), CBO (blue), WSJ (brown), IMF (light green triangles), GDPNow (2/7/2024) […]
Recession Forecasts Take A Beating After Strong Q4 GDP Growth – Beragampengetahuan
The only thing that was genuinely surprising in yesterday’s fourth-quarter report on US economic activity was the strength of the increase. The positive directional bias, by contrast, has been relatively clear for weeks, if not longer. Assuming, of course, that you were analyzing a broad array of indicators and avoiding the rookie mistakes of estimating […]
Our key FX forecasts for Latin American economies – Beragampengetahuan
Latin America currencies had an eventful 2023. Some, such as Argentina’s peso and Venezuela’s bolívar, crumbled amid hyperinflation and elevated money printing, while others, such as the Mexican and Colombian pesos, strengthened significantly. Our panelists’ forecasts suggest that 2024 will maintain this pattern of extreme divergence between currencies. Latin American currencies to depreciate in general: […]
Trend lines – Analytics & Forecasts – 16 January 2024 – Beragampengetahuan
Trend lines are lines drawn on the historical price levels that predict general direction of where the marking is heading and provide indication of support/resistance. Drawing trend lines is a highly subjective matter. The best test of whether a trend line is a valid one is usually whether it looks like a good line. In an […]
Is a Catastrophic Housing Meltdown Looming in 2024? Unveiling the Truth Behind Market Forecasts – Beragampengetahuan
Is a Catastrophic Housing Meltdown Looming in 2024? Unveiling the Truth Behind Market Forecasts In the realm of real estate and economic discourse, 2024 stands as a year of pivotal importance. The housing market, a perennial subject of interest and concern, finds itself at the confluence of diverse economic currents and speculations. The central question […]
Your best assistant is the Chaikin Oscillator. – Analytics & Forecasts – 7 January 2024 – Beragampengetahuan
1. The Theory – How to Use Indicator Developed by Marc Chaikin This an oscillator Indicator, it measure the Accumulation/distribution of money that is flowing into and out of a currency pair. The indicator is based on the fact that the nearer the closing price is to the high of the price, the more the […]
Source Code – Analytics & Forecasts – 26 December 2023 – Beragampengetahuan
Source Code is not just another advisor! This is an intelligent neural network created for successful trading in financial markets. Our advisor is based on advanced deep learning algorithms, allowing it to analyze a variety of data and identify the best trading strategies. With Source Code’s neural network, you get access to powerful market analysis that […]