GDP
Calculated Risk: Q4 GDP Tracking: Starting Close to 2% – Beragampengetahuan
by Calculated Risk on 11/10/2023 08:40:00 AM From BofA: Overall, data since our last weekly publication pushed up our 3Q US GDP tracking estimate from 5.1% q/q saar to 5.2% q/q saar. [W]e will start our 4Q US GDP tracker with the retail sales print [Nov 10th]emphasis added From Goldman: We boosted our past-quarter GDP […]
More on China Q3 GDP – Beragampengetahuan
BOFIT calculations (based on Kerola (2019)) indicate a slower pace of growth than officially reported. Year-on-Year, the simple average of alternative calculations is less than 4%, compared to the 4.9% officially reported (which is at the top of the range of growth rates from the alternative calculations). Source: BOFIT. Interestingly, the Q2 gap is not […]
Week Ahead: Softness in US Real Sector, Key UK and Canadian Data, and China’s Q3 GDP – Beragampengetahuan
The markets absorbed two shocks last week. The war in Israel that seems to know of no restraint underpinned oil prices and appeared to help boost gold and the Swiss franc, the only G10 currency to appreciate against the dollar. The other was the continued deluge of US Treasury supply, the coupon auctions that tailed […]
Newsquawk Week Ahead: FOMC minutes, ECB minutes, US & China CPI and UK GDP – Beragampengetahuan
Mon: EZ Sentix Index (Oct) Tue: Nil Wed: EIA STEO, US PPI (Sep). FOMC Minutes Thu: ECB Minutes, OPEC MOMR, IEA OMR, UK GDP (Aug), US CPI (Sep) Fri: Chinese Inflation (Sep), Chinese Trade Balance (Sep), EZ Industrial Production (Aug), US University of Michigan Prelim Note: Previews are listed in day order FOMC Minutes (Wed): […]
Inflation Or Nominal GDP Targeting? Whatever. — Brian Romanchuk ~ Mike Norman Economics – Beragampengetahuan
Inflation Or Nominal GDP Targeting? Whatever. — Brian Romanchuk ~ Mike Norman Economics Inflation Or Nominal GDP Targeting? Whatever. — Brian Romanchuk Nominal GDP targeting is the latest mainstream fad, which is allegedly going to improve central banking when compared to inflation targeting. In a certain sense, I have some sympathies. If a central bank […]
GDP, GDO, GDP+ | beragampengetahuan – Beragampengetahuan
GDP is only one measure of income. Fiugre 1: GDP (bold black), GDPNow as of 7/28 (tan square), GDO (teal), GDP+ (red), final sales (chartreuse), all in bn.Ch.2012$ SAAR. GDO assumes net operating surplus drops $100 bn SAAR in Q2. GDP+ level GDP+ growth rates iterated on 2019Q4 GDP. Source: BEA 2023Q2 advance, Atlanta Fed, […]
GDP (No. 3), GDO, GDP+ | Peramban Ekonomi – Beragampengetahuan
Dengan pelaporan GDI, kita tidak perlu lagi menebak-nebak untuk menghitung GDO. GDP+ juga dilaporkan. Kami mendapat gambar berikut melalui Q4. Gambar 1: GDP (hitam), GDPNow of 3/24 (kotak merah), GDO (tan), GDP+ (hijau), semuanya dalam miliar Ch.2012$ SAAR. Tingkat PDB+ dihitung dengan menghitung secara iteratif tingkat pertumbuhan PDB riil pada triwulan keempat tahun 2019. Sumber: […]