Storms Likely Sunday… Hot Weather Continues… Saturday PM Forecast… – Beragampengetahuan

Guidance has come into better agreement for a weakening complex of storms along an outflow boundary to move from north to south across most of the area on Sunday. Timing appears to be focused on 8 AM (far northern AL counties) to 2 PM (areas south of I-20). This complex will require some daytime surface heating provided by the sun in order to strengthen as it moves south. Areas closer to the Tennessee state line will likely just see brief moderate to heavy rain with some lightning during the early to mid morning. However, as this boundary interacts with greater energy situated along the I-22 corridor and points south, these areas could potentially see a stronger wind gust and heavier rain. At this time, we are not expecting widespread severe storms, but a rogue severe storm can’t be ruled out as we know it doesn’t take much during the peak of Summer to amplify a storm into severe criteria. Sunday afternoon appears to be mostly dry with some scattered storms possible in the southern half of our area. Temperatures will struggle to recover in areas that see rain in the 12-2 PM timeframe, so we’ll keep the high at 93 due to late AM clouds and storms.

Monday looks to be the most sunny day of the week as a surface high builds into the area. This will allow for sinking air and very hot temperatures that will easily make it into the mid/upper 90s. As deep moisture remains across Alabama, maximum heat indices will range from 102°-110°. This type of heat will stick with us through the majority of our work week ahead. This means to limit time outdoors, monitor outdoor pets, and of course consume plenty of water if exposed to these elements for an extended period of time. The rest of the week will remain dry for most of us. Although, isolated to scattered afternoon/evening storms enter the picture as we move from Wednesday into the upcoming weekend.

The strong ridge of high pressure that has built itself right over the Central US is to blame for these consistent hot temperatures. This ridge does begin to flatten some as we head into the second half of the workweek, which is why afternoon storm chances will become more common once again. Very muggy air will continue to stay in place through the upcoming week and we see no sign of considerable relief on the way as of now. Of course, we are entering the “dog days of Summer” where each day is nearly a carbon copy of the one before it. No incoming cold fronts or interesting synoptic setups that will provide a major change in our current pattern until at least the middle part of August.

Weekend Forecaster Jacob Woods
Twitter: @JacobWoodsWx
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